Hawaii opens at 21 in RPI, No. 12 in poll

http://web1.ncaa.org/app_data/weeklyrpi/2016WVBrpi1.html

COMMENTS

  1. Warrior Dave October 3, 2016 8:36 am

    Dear Cindy,

    Is this a good thing or not at this point of our schedule? Any possible scenario that Wahine can host 1st round this year?


  2. Warriorfan October 3, 2016 8:38 am

    Unlv’s rpi rank is surprising.
    Wins over udub and kansas st probably would have UH clearly in hosting range oh well.


  3. Cindy Luis October 3, 2016 8:58 am

    1. i’m thinking not because the Big West RPI is so low that Hawaii likely to drop each week. the insanity continues.

    2. agree wins over KState and UW would have helped.

    UH up to 12 in poll.
    https://www.avca.org/polls/di-women/10-3-2016.html


  4. Warriorfan October 3, 2016 8:58 am

    But if unlv ends up hosting
    Send us there ncaa pretty please lol


  5. jmy October 3, 2016 9:13 am

    Can’t believe that Stanford & UW still in the top ten, ranked higher than WSU…


  6. Cindy Luis October 3, 2016 9:24 am

    5. you have to understand how the voting goes. when starting high in the poll, it takes a while to drop.
    For WSU to go from unranked to No. 10 in 2 weeks is pretty impressive.


  7. Cindy Luis October 3, 2016 9:26 am

    BTW, UH did not nominate anyone for Big West honors. Based on who they played, i might have a hard time to find anyone outstanding. Thoughts?


  8. jmy October 3, 2016 9:30 am

    6. Point taken…It just seems kind of inconsistent…Florida lost & dropped 6 spots, UW lost & dropped one, Stanford lost & actually went up two…


  9. Robin October 3, 2016 9:39 am

    Team is undefeated since the return of Annie. Probably would have beat Kansas State with just Nikki back…with Annie also, probably UW and possibly UCLA. Hard to believe they took #1 Wisconsin to 4 and lost 25-23 in the 4th without both Nikki and Annie.

    RPI of Big West
    21 Hawaii
    48 UC Santa Barbara
    50 Cal Poly
    51 Long Beach St.
    123 CSUN
    129 UC Davis
    133 UC Irvine
    259 Cal St. Fullerton
    270 UC Riverside


  10. Cindy Luis October 3, 2016 9:40 am

    as for the RPI,
    Hawaii opponents
    1. Wisconsin
    10 UCLA
    11 Washington
    16 Kansas State
    38 Arizona
    47 Pacific
    67 Missouri State
    71 Northern Illinois
    94. Pepperdine
    170. Utah Valley

    21 Hawaii
    48 UCSB
    50 Cal Poly
    51 Long Beach State
    123 CSUN
    129 UC Davis
    133 UC Irvine
    259 CSU Fullerton
    270 UC Riverside


  11. noblesol October 3, 2016 9:52 am

    #7 I was thinking last night that Hawaii might not nominate anyone for Big West honors, and that it wouldn’t be a bad thing. These weren’t signature wins against top completion after all, plus the excellent team effort was what came shining through this week. If they gave an honor for best team effort with most balanced scoring and greatest week over week overall team error reduction, that award would have gone to the Wahine this week.


  12. Cindy Luis October 3, 2016 9:54 am

    8. agree. but UW lost in 5 to Stanford in Seattle, which is considered a big win for the Cardinal
    Stanford then goes up to a hot WSU and loses in 5. Big jump for the Cougars and the Cardinals benefit from Florida’s fall.
    Just where the points fall from 64 voters
    as for Florida bad home loss, swept by Kentucky
    Kentucky ends up going from unranked to T25


  13. jmy October 3, 2016 10:12 am

    We’ll see if Minnesota’s hot streak continues this Wed. at Penn State…Nittany Lions seem to be finding their game…


  14. noblesol October 3, 2016 10:25 am

    BZ for Cindy’s write-up for last night, and the accompanying photos. Enjoyed the quotes and commentary and the ‘just right’ usage of stats. Practically, I wouldn’t have needed to watch the game, just read her article. Enjoyed that the article captured not just the game but what players and coach thought of it and how it fit into where they’ve been and what’s ahead. The accompanying photo of KG taking a dig from Kahakai captured one of my favorite plays from last night. I thought KG turned a small corner last night. She had a nice long service run in set 2 and not only looked stronger but more confidant. You have to be to poach one from Savanah.


  15. tongo October 3, 2016 10:30 am

    Yeah, Greeley does appears to be serving better. We are all hoping for Kalei to return to front row duty where her skills and experience are invaluable. When she is in, there just appears to be more stability – and that is no slam on Sibley who is doing a great job.


  16. Maverick October 3, 2016 10:42 am

    Here is a detailed report on current RPI: https://rpiarchive.ncaa.org/default.aspx
    Select volleyball, women, current, all reports, 2016. Two good reports available for your analyzing pleasure.

    No chance UH hosts this year, mainly because of its losses. Big West doesn’t help, although it has four teams in the top 51, better than last year. UH and Arizona have the worst records against Top 25 RPI competition (0-4) than any other team in the top 70 of RPI rankings. No quality wins out of conference is a big hit.

    By comparison, UNLV is 15-1 and has no quality wins, but plays in a better RPI conference than the Big West. Has a worse SOS than UH. If UH had one loss rather than three, I believe that UH would be in the 10-15 RPI rank range. The only reason UH doesn’t have a rank in the 40s is its superior non-conference SOS.

    8. jmy, your analysis fails to take into account quality of opponent, location of match, and how other teams performed in the top 25. Florida lost at home to an unranked Kentucky team and beat unranked Tennessee. Hardly top-notch opponents. So they get punished. Stanford loses to 17 WSU away and beats 7 UW away. UW loses to 9 Stanford and beats Cal at home. Voters aren’t going to harshly punish UW for losing to a top ten team. Stanford goes up because Florida and UW dropped and because of its quality win and quality loss, while UNC beat no one of consequence last week and wouldn’t be voted over Stanford.

    I would recommend avoiding the logic of “if team A beats team B, it should be ranked higher” logic. It becomes circular. If A beats B, B beats C, and C beats A, all by 3-0 scores, who should be ranked higher?


  17. Maverick October 3, 2016 10:43 am

    Here is the NCAA manual that elaborates on tournament selection criteria this year:

    http://www.ncaa.org/sites/default/files/2016DIWVB_PreChamp_Manual_20160914.pdf


  18. Cubicle1126 October 3, 2016 11:29 am

    #21 to start in the RPI is great. if that holds, and if hawaii had managed to knock of 3 of the 4 teams (of wisconsin/ucla/kansas st/washington) … maybe even if hawaii had gone 2-2 … they could’ve been in contention for a seed by year-end. (remember that win/loss record against the RPI top 25 is major factor in seeding.)

    the problem is that hawaii went 0-4 against those teams. and the #21 RPI ranking won’t hold. even if hawaii had picked up wins against those top 25 RPI teams, there’s no guarantee their RPI will put them in contention for a seed, after playing the big west teams.

    the year-end RPI prognosticator on VT showed hawaii’s finishing the season at #30 RPI. that prediction is as of last week, and includes the possibility of hawaii carrying at least one loss in conference. even if hawaii runs the table and goes undefeated, it’s possible that hawaii’s RPI won’t rise much higher than that.

    we’ll have to be content with hawaii being one of — if not the most — dangerous unseeded team in the draw.

    if kansas state earns a seed, i’d love to see hawaii get sent there. ksu’s RPI is 16 this week. i bet this hawaii team would want another shot at them, at “fuller” strength…

    let’s see how it all plays out … in the meantime, just take care of business in the big west and get the automatic berth…


  19. Andy October 3, 2016 12:12 pm

    9 and 18 – after saving and planning for six months to fly from the mainland for the Chevron tournament, I was deeply disappointed that I was watching a team at half strength. I too was hoping for an undefeated preseason and an RPI high enough to host. But I re-watched that Arizona win and think it is one of my all time favorites. Shoji going way against character and riding four true freshmen to victory, who played with the fearless abandon you only have when you know there are no more alternatives behind you. My friends had to keep looking at the roster to figure out “who is that”, play after amazing play. We would not have been able to see all this with a healthy team. I agree that some high RPI teams are going to be very disappointed to be in the same bracket as UH come the NCAAs.


  20. Maverick October 3, 2016 12:22 pm

    Interesting flip to UNLV. #6 AVCA-ranked Kansas, is 0-2 against RPI top 25 competition and 2-2 against the top 50. It’s SOS is ranked 147, yielding an RPI ranking of 39. Again, UH is saved from this by its non-conf schedule. However, expect Kansas to rise while UH falls in the RPI rankings, as they progress in conference play.


  21. setaone October 3, 2016 3:54 pm

    I think the SID may have forgotten to nominate anyone.


  22. vballfreak808 October 3, 2016 8:12 pm

    Hey Cindy, has there ever been a story written on Jimbo? He’s been there for a long time and I know the players over time have loved having him there. Would love to hear his story.


  23. warriorwahine October 3, 2016 9:47 pm

    welp #21 at rpi. should of, NOT could of, beaten k-state and should of beaten u-dub, both were weak, but apparently wahine took neither as priority.

    unseeded uh goes to u-dub again (to be used as fodder by the no clue at all ncaa)


  24. tipshot October 4, 2016 5:32 am

    Someone at VT predicts future RPI’s and Washington may not be seeded either. I wouldn’t be surprised if HI and WA got sent to San Diego for a sub regional. Yikes.

    (And it’s “should have” not “should of” …sorry warriorwahine, but that’s one of my pet peeves that drives me crazy.)


  25. tongo October 4, 2016 7:13 am

    Glad everyone is so optimistic about getting post season. Right now, the BW automatic berth to post season appears to be a two horse race between Long Beach and UH. This upcoming match at the Pyramid looms very large.


  26. Mekanaka October 4, 2016 9:52 am

    After watching how efficiently LBS dispensed with CP and UCSB, the Wahines task will definitely be a challenge. Their middles are as formidable as ours and that player from China can terminate.


  27. Rabbit ears October 4, 2016 9:59 am

    No worries, wahines will step up and take care of business.


  28. Maverick October 4, 2016 10:07 am

    Cindy, I read your RPI article today and have one recommendation. The import of the article is the RPI for selection purposes, and the challenges UH faces. However, you mention that UH had a final RPI of 15 after their run in the tournament. Rather than using the final RPI, I would recommend using the selection RPI (you can find it in the RPI link I provided above), which the committee used to seed teams in the tournament. Any RPI after the selection RPI is irrelevant (I don’t know why NCAA even computes it once the tourney begins) and also skewed because only 64 teams play in the first round, 32 in the second, etc., so those teams that keep winning will see and RPI ranking rise relative to everyone else. UH was 26-1 at the end of the regular season and had a #26 RPI ranking, which clearly put it out of the seeding discussion. This ranking is a better comparable to discussing this year’s developing RPI ranking, as opposed to 2015’s end-of-postseason RPI rank.


  29. tongo October 4, 2016 10:15 am

    Watched that LBS match vs SB Matched also. It was a breakout match for that 6’4″ Chinese MH – but to be fair, it was the match where Gauchos Sr .6’4″ MH Phoebe Grunt was injured and did not play. For me, my concern is OH Nele Barber who is hitting well mixing it up especially with the dink shots right over the block. Also, Beach switches 6’2″ MH Ashley Murray to the pin position in key situation, and you can see where the Beach will switch Murray to the pin when they can match her up with Granato. Also, even though the Beach do not have a lot of aces, they are good servers getting their opponents -both Cal Poly and Santa Barbara out of system. Our OHs will have their hands full.


  30. Ron October 4, 2016 11:17 am

    Beware of LBS! They have the players and the coach that can beat us if we don”t play well. We need to have good passing to beat this team. We are better balanced but they are getting stronger as the season progresses. Thanks, tongo, love your updates.


  31. Cindy Luis October 4, 2016 4:07 pm

    21. the SID did not forget to nominate anyone. they decided not to.
    22. HEY, yes, done stuff on Jim but nothing recent


  32. Cindy Luis October 4, 2016 4:10 pm

    http://hawaiiwarriorworld.com/?p=39556
    new thread up


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