Rainbow Warriors open as favorites against Wyoming
Despite everything that has gone wrong for University of Hawaii football, the Rainbow Warriors (1-4) are favored to win their Mountain West Conference opener against Wyoming this Saturday at Aloha Stadium. UH is giving 3 points against the Cowboys, who are 3-2 including a win over Air Force that puts them in first place in the MWC Mountain Division.
Don’t be surprised if that line changes some between now and kickoff. Wyoming is coming off a 56-14 pasting by Michigan State two weeks ago and is 0-2 on the road … the other loss was at Oregon.
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Pomai
UH Favored to WIN!
UH 31
Wyoming 13
Mahalo !
2nd! Dol!
This must be a mistake. While not spectacular, Wyoming’s quarterback has managed a good passing attack. Against Michigan St., Wyoming QB Kirkegaard passed for 188 yds on 16/24 completions with 1 TD and 1 INT. Their record is good with wins over Montana, Florida Atlantic and Air Force, a team that has beaten Boise St. Against Oregon, Kirkegaard passed for 284 yds on 19/33 completions. As a team, they managed 403 total offensive yards against the Ducks. Thus, I would put the Cowboys as 9 pt favorites.
Hawaii lost to 3 PAC 12 teams and Rice (2013 Conf USA Champs) but lets not confused the 2013 Rice team was loaded with seniors and was a really good team compared to 2014 that is mediocre at best. Hawaii only win was against FCS opponent. With the offense leaning on the Defense and Special Teams to carry the team and Wyoming defense is better than last years team. Plus, Hawaii still doesn’t have a QB and WR/TE that can catch passes reliably. I’m not buying the Hawaii offense until I see it get a pulse because right now the offense has no pulse and is on life support. Chow/Wynn/Matthews need to do something to turn the QB/WR play around or they will be looking for employment else where next season.
Hawaii 17
Wyoming 31
Wyoming is a good team – yet. I think Bohl is still going through the growing pains of transitioning to his pro-style offense. The three-point spread is just home field advantage and if the venue were different, Wyoming would probably be the three-point favorites.
Have a feeling this might turn out to be another lackluster performance (i.e. ugly win) like the UNI game. However, should the Warrior defense somehow falter, I see this game easily turning the other way and ending up being a humiliating loss. The offense needs to find some kind of rhythm and shouldn’t expect the defense to carry the team in every game. If they don’t, sadly, I don’t see the team winning any conference games this season.
Favored to win? I was thinking UH would be the underdog for every MWC game this season.
If UH is too win some games this season, the offense has to score more points. Eventually their defense will get tired. This Saturday will be their first test against MWC competition. I hope they can come away with a W in their MWC opener.
The expectation of UH winning has gone from win games and play in a bowl game to “I would be happy with 3 or 4 wins a season.”
I think I read somewhere or heard it on TV that New Mexico State has 3 winning seasons since 1968. I hope UH doesn’t fall into that kind of spiral descent.
Right now I would say Hawaii might double its wins this year from last year – 2 wins. Next and only other win this season might be over UNLV. By the way, New Mexico St. is not in the MWC. They’re not because of their record.
Start Taylor Graham please! We will see if he provides that spark or not. If no, then let’s see what Beau Reilly can do! Woolsey can always come in later if necessary.
Oh I know New Mexico state is not in the MWC. I was referring to their woeful 3 winning seasons since 1968. I just hope UH football don’t sink to that level of losing.
I’m not watching if Woosley starts. I watch a game for entertainment and excitement, not boredom.
D.R. What are you smoking ??? AFA is a very good team this year and let’s be honest here we STINK …BUT… we do look good in practices.
#8 (TOM) … I agree … it’s gotten so bad I’m deciding on whether or not to go to the SJSU game
8. Unfortunately Tom, your wish isn’t going to happen. This is the same coach who converted our best QB to Wr only to run him off the team basically in his 1st season. Then handed the job to Graham in year 2 when Schroeder out performed him at camp, to now he’s not good enough to sniff the field.. as the saying goes, you can’t fix stupid.
11. If practices matters, we’d probably be ranked in top 25 based on reports 🙂
is the line correct? Wyoming is not a pushover; if Hawaii does not solve its offenseless problem, it will not win. the problem with the offense is not only with the qb but the receivers and offensive line. the receivers are too slow, cannot get open; the qb is not able to improvise (think on his feet); the offensive line cannot sustain its blocks. don’t believe these problems can be fixed in a week, hence believe that Wyoming will win the game.
We are a decent team. If we could just get the passing game to be a little more effective this team will be in a position to win some games. Defensively this has been the best we have looked since 2010 i.m.o.
Last year was a shootout!! I do not think this year will be a shootout. Again we will have to score 24+ to win. I do not see it with this conservative offensive, playing not to lose. Wyoming 31 – Hawaii 24
808 Warrior Fan: The nicotine buzz is gone from the couple of cigarettes I smoked in Vegas … which is where the 3-point edge for UH is coming from, not me.
Morning Tsaikos!
Let’s Go Warriors!
Rain or shine.. Imua Warriors! Prayers to da Chow Ohana
If you have a chance check out Beau Reilly’s high light films from high school on youtube.
He looks and plays like a Mariotta. I can see why they are holding out on him as he is a freshman but to save the season and gain some college experience maybe they should play him.
Mr. Chow,
please take care of your wife 100% of the time; and do the honorable thing for the entire Warrior Nation and resign. This is the Titanic and we are sinking fast; or already sunk.
Sorry Tom but I must say that is a classless and disgusting comment. He should be there to be with his family because family comes first, but to say he should resign because of it is just horrible.
tom-warriornation- simply put you got no class. Hope no one responds the same way when something similar happens in your life. The UH football program will go on to do whatever is necessary to move to the next level but read Dave’s article this morning. It pertains to people like yourself. If you’re the guy trying to get people to sign up for away games count me as someone who will never use your services.
chow should resign, but not because of this wife’s condition. also, markazulu: UH isn’t a decent team. they are a terrible team. if i was betting on this game i would take the points with wyoming. just because the line is set at UH -3 doesn’t mean that UH should win by three points. Vegas lines are about how good the PUBLIC perceives both teams not necessarily how good the teams actually are.
Wyoming is no joke.
26. In reality, UH may or not be 3 points better than Wyoming. They are 3 point favorites because that’s what the books think that line will generate an equal amount of money bet for each team. Because Hawaii has a bunch of casual and degenerate sports betters (both legal and underground), Hawaii spreads are skewed a little when they play very small market teams (in terms of dollars wagered) like Wyoming. The books fully understand which teams have strong betting behind them and the line is adjusted for that. It’s the same way with USC. USC has a ton of casual betters that make the road trip to Vegas and lay money on them regardless of spread.
Books would rather win money on the juice rather than hope a heavily bet side fall their direction. It’s all about risk.
They use a ton of data and metrics and their teams of analysts watch all the games (unlike the people ranking the top 25). They use these metrics to project how they matchup with their opponent’s metrics. Home/road splits are considered (both straight up and ATS) including historical and trend data.
Other than day-to-day off field musings, Vegas knows UH Football better than any of us, including the people who cover them in the media. I say that because the books have done there homework on all opponents, whereas local media focuses on the local teams.
Where you can catch books making the wrong lines is in college basketball, especially early in the year. There’s just too many teams for sports books to have great knowledge on. In football, they have a good beat on just about everybody.
Just checked the spread and it’s now UH (-3.5) at most books. However William Hill just adjusted down to (-3).
Stations, Coast, MGM, South Pointe, Wynn, Caesars all opened at (-3.5).
I didn’t see any totals posted yet. The under has been a pretty easy bet since UH’s QB issues and pretty good defense has been the overriding themes of how their games have gone.
Sorry… “have” not “has”
808, sorry. I am also hoping the program turns around soon. Shucks, this season I purchased three season tickets. First time in 18 years!!! Being his 3rd season, I really thought Coach Chow had turned the corner. Last year was so promising.
Former UH athlete has a good understanding of the way betting lines work … another thing to consider is that it’s easier for Vegas to self-correct and get money played on both sides because of the immediacy of the internet. Also good opportunities for bettors to get both sides of a bet with big line changes.
wyoming. take the points and the money line. all day. although UH has a tendency to screw over anyone who bets on the game, because they’ll magically cover spreads against teams that they should get destroyed by or not cover the spread against teams they should smash.
For most of chow’s tenure, if anything, we’re probably looking at the former.
I think we can all disagree in the manner to which how UH can improve. For the most part the wariorworld blog has insightful discussions on ways to improve UH football. The common denominator in all discussions on this blog, as UH warrior fans, is our hope that UH will turn the corner and start winning. UH Warriors will win again and they will be in bowl games. When? Well I’m not sure when UH will be in a bowl game. UH warrior program and the fans have too much pride to let it slip into non-existence. Like everything else, this to (losing) shall pass.
The first win and hopefully many more to come this year and the years to come starts with Wyoming this Saturday.